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US says Europe should ready fuel supplies as Trump threatens diesel ban

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  1. Europe Urged to Prepare Diesel Reserves as US Export Restrictions Loom
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Europe Urged to Prepare Diesel Reserves as US Export Restrictions Loom

Ninoda.com – European governments are assessing how to protect fuel supplies after President Donald Trump signalled that the United States could curb diesel exports during a period of exceptional global pressure on the market.

The possibility of a US export ban has prompted discussions between the UK and European partners on whether strategic diesel stocks might need to be released. Washington is considering the step as diesel costs rise sharply in the United States, where fuel affordability has become a politically sensitive issue in the run-up to November’s midterm elections.

The US is one of the world’s most important diesel suppliers, shipping roughly 1.2 million to 1.5 million barrels a day overseas. A halt or restriction on those flows could leave import-dependent countries competing more intensely for available cargoes and drive prices higher beyond America’s borders.

Trump weighs action aimed at domestic prices

Trump said over the weekend that an export ban was under serious consideration. On Thursday, he indicated that European countries could be asked to tap their own reserves if the US moves forward with restrictions.

“We’re thinking about it very seriously.”

The administration’s argument is that keeping additional diesel in the domestic market could ease costs for American drivers, freight operators, farmers and businesses. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said European partners should make supplies available without delay, saying US consumers should not bear the full effect of the disruption.

“Our European partners should accelerate delivery on their existing commitments and make additional supplies immediately available to address ongoing disruptions.”

The issue is particularly prominent as Trump prepares to campaign across the country for Republican candidates seeking to retain control of both the House of Representatives and the Senate. Fuel prices affect household budgets directly, but they also feed through into transport, food production and the cost of moving goods through the economy.

Why diesel markets are under strain

Diesel prices have surged since the US-Israel war in Iran began in February. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has been a major factor, as the route normally carries about one-fifth of global oil and gas supplies. Disruption there has lifted the cost of crude oil and petroleum products made from it.

Pressure has also come from Russia, another significant diesel supplier, after it imposed its own export ban. With fewer supplies available internationally, buyers have less flexibility when replacing disrupted deliveries.

Diesel presents a distinct challenge because reducing consumption is not straightforward. The fuel remains central to road haulage and farming, so demand cannot easily be cut when prices rise. Producing diesel also requires more refining effort than making gasoline, which can limit how quickly refineries respond to a shortage.

UK considers coordinated response

UK Energy Minister Martin McCluskey joined a call with European counterparts on Thursday to discuss the potential consequences of a US decision. Officials are examining a coordinated approach involving EU countries and other partners should diesel shipments from America be restricted.

European countries still hold reserves following an earlier coordinated release of strategic fuel stocks this year. That provides some buffer, though drawing down reserves is generally intended to ease a temporary emergency rather than replace normal commercial supply over a long period.

A UK government spokesperson said the country’s supply network remained broad and resilient, while engagement continued with international partners and the domestic fuel industry. The government has stressed that motorists and businesses do not need to fear an immediate shortage, although further price increases remain possible.

The European Commission is also holding extensive discussions on the market situation, including contacts at senior levels within the US administration. The focus is likely to be on understanding the scope and timing of any American action, as well as the availability of replacement supplies.

Record UK prices underline exposure

Diesel has reached unprecedented prices at UK forecourts. RAC figures put the average pump price at 199.79p per litre, compared with 142.38p per litre previously. Prices have been hovering just below 200p per litre, creating a significant burden for motorists and especially for operators whose vehicles cover long distances.

The UK is particularly exposed because it relies heavily on imported diesel. Its four refineries can produce more petrol than the country needs, but their diesel output does not meet total domestic demand. That gap means international supply disruptions can have a rapid effect on wholesale costs and eventually on prices paid at the pump.

There were 15.1 million diesel vehicles on UK roads at the end of June, down from 15.7 million a year earlier. The number of diesel cars also declined, falling to 9.8 million from 10.4 million. Even with that gradual reduction, millions of drivers and many commercial fleets remain dependent on the fuel.

For consumers, an export ban would not necessarily mean empty filling stations. The more immediate risk would be higher prices as suppliers seek alternative barrels in a constrained international market. Businesses using diesel for deliveries, construction, agriculture and transport could face higher operating costs, with some of those expenses potentially reflected in the prices of everyday goods.

The next steps will depend on whether the US turns its threat into a formal restriction and how long any measure lasts. Until then, European governments are preparing options intended to keep fuel flowing and limit the impact of a further shock to an already strained diesel market.

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